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    基于APCS-MLR模型的泉州东部沿海地区地下水污染源解析

    Source Apportionment of Groundwater Pollution in the Eastern Coastal Area of Quanzhou City Based on the APCS-MLR Model

    • 摘要: 在评价研究区地下水化学特征及水岩相互作用的基础上,利用主成分分析法(PCA)判断研究区潜在的污染来源,并结合绝对因子得分-多元线性回归受体模型(APCS-MLR模型)进一步量化各因素对流域内地下水质量的影响程度。结果表明:泉州东部平原区的水化学类型主要为HCO3-·Cl--Na++K+·Ca2+型水,有向Cl--Na++K+型水转变的趋势。岩石风化是影响研究区水化学类型的主要原因,硅酸盐岩风化是影响研究区地下水水化学特性的主要因素。除了岩石风化作用,研究区地下水还受生活污水、农业生产的影响。利用PCA提取了五类影响水质的主成分因子,分别为海水入侵因子(27.78%)、化工制造业混合因子(19.61%)、水岩相互作用与建材工业混合源因子(12.44%)、农业活动及食品加工混合污染因子(9.49%)、生活污水及原生地质环境混合因子(6.98%),方差累计贡献率为76.31%。APCS-MLR模型量化了五类因子对区域内地下水质量影响的贡献,平均贡献率分别为19.40%、16.26%、7.47%、4.37%和22.32%,未知来源平均贡献率为30.18%。研究显示,海水入侵因子、化工制造业混合因子、生活污水及原生地质环境混合因子是导致区域地下水质量下降的主要因素。

       

      Abstract: In recent years,Quanzhou City has placed increasing emphasis on the groundwater quality in its economically developed eastern plain region.Based on an evaluation of the hydrochemical characteristics and water-rock interactions in the study area,principal component analysis (PCA) was employed to identify potential pollution sources.The absolute principal component score-multiple linear regression (APCS-MLR) receptor model was further utilized to quantify the contribution of each factor to groundwater quality in the basin.The results indicate:The predominant hydrochemical type of groundwater in the eastern plain of Quanzhou is HCO3-·Cl--Na++K+·Ca2+,with a trend toward Cl--Na++K+.Rock weathering is the primary factor influencing the hydrochemical composition in the study area,with silicate weathering being the main control on groundwater hydrochemical characteristics.In addition to rock weathering,groundwater is also affected by domestic sewage and agricultural activities.Five principal components affecting water quality were extracted using PCA:seawater intrusion factor (27.78%),chemical manufacturing mixed factor (19.61%),water-rock interaction and building material industry mixed source factor (12.44%),agricultural activities and food processing mixed pollution factor (9.49%),and domestic sewage and natural geological environment mixed factor (6.98%),with a cumulative variance contribution rate of 76.31%.The APCS-MLR model quantified the contributions of these five factors to regional groundwater quality,with average contribution rates of 19.40%,16.26%,7.47%,4.37%,and 22.32%,respectively,while unidentified sources accounted for 30.18% on average.The study reveals that seawater intrusion,chemical manufacturing mixed factors,and domestic sewage combined with natural geological environment factors are the primary contributors to the decline of groundwater quality in the region.

       

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